Experimental Forecast of Area Burned for Interior Alaska

Tuesday, May 19, 2009 at 10:00 AM AKDT
Speaking: 
Paul Duffy, Neptune Inc.

Paul Duffy, Neptune Inc.
2004 and 2005 were the largest fires years on record in Alaska. Climate change is expected to bring warmer temperatures and therefore greater drying and more frequent extreme fire years in the future. The Alaska Center for Climate Assessment and Policy is testing a new pilot website to forecast area burned for Interior Alaska, based on a gradient boosting model that takes advantage of strong linkages between teleconnection indices, weather, and fire in Alaska. Join us as we showcase this web-tool to learn more about how the forecasts are created and how you can stay up to date this summer on the fire forecast in Alaska.

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