El Niño and Alaska - Past, Present, and Future

Tuesday, August 26, 2014 at 10:00 AM AKDT
Rick Thoman, National Weather Service & Jon Gottschalck, NOAA Climate Prediction Center

Variations in the tropical Pacific ocean and atmosphere are an important contributor to seasonal weather and climate variability over large portions of the globe, including Alaska. The warm phase of this variation, El Niño, is favored to be in place for the the upcoming fall and winter seasons. We will review the current state of El Niño and expected development over the next several months and examine how variations in the tropical Pacific can effect high latitude regions such as Alaska. We finish up with a look at how past El Niño falls and winters have turned out and review the forecast for this coming cold season for Alaska. 


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Alaska Center for Climate Assessment & Policy

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