Quarterly Weather & Climate Anomalies and Outlooks

Developed in partnership between ACCAP, the National Weather Service and Environment & Climate Change Canada, this publication presents a snapshot of recent weather and climate events and anomalies; regional weather impacts on the region's ecosystems and economy; and a climate forecast for the coming 3 months.

Source: NOAA & ECCC

Fall 2016 saw near normal temperatures in the central Yukon and northern Northwest Territories. Every other portion of the region was above — or significantly above — normal. This is largely a result of record low Arctic Ocean sea ice. Record warm Pacific Ocean waters contributed to the unrelenting warmth of the coastal regions. Precipitation in southeast Alaska was below normal for the season and at a record low for October. Nearly every station in southeast Alaska had their driest October on record. In northwest Canada, almost all of the Yukon Territory was drier than normal. This is likely due to warm, ice-free water, which provides atmospheric heat and moisture at a time of year when it is typically locked away under ice.


Ice melt in the southern Beaufort Sea is off to an early start in 2016. Historically (1981–2010), ice breakup in the southern Beaufort Sea begins in the first half of June. In 2016, breakup conditions began at the end of April. At the end of May 2016, ice extent in the Beaufort Sea was at a record low for this time of year. These conditions are not normally seen until the end of July or early August. As for the extended outlook, conditions generally point toward "warmer and wetter" for June-September 2016, with some caveats. Download this quarter's publication for full details.

This was the second warmest winter of record for Alaska as a whole. Only the winter of 2000–01 was warmer. Download the publication for full details.

Alaska Center for Climate Assessment & Policy

2160 Koyukuk Drive, PO Box 757245  |  Fairbanks, AK 99775-7245 map  |   tel 907-474-7812  |  fax 907-474-5662  |  Email

ACCAP is a NOAA Climate Program Office Climate & Societal Interactions RISA Program.

Subscribe to our mailing list

UA is an AA/EO employer and educational institution and prohibits illegal discrimination against any individual. Notice of Nondiscrimination