ACCAP was involved in ICEX2018. Brettschieder’s analog forecasting technique was used in two manners, first for daily forecasts and second for historical break up match for when sea ice would deteriorate to a point where the camp was no longer usable.
In the spring of 2015 ACCAP solicited proposals as part of a minigrant competition. Proposals were for salary support for one month of summer faculty support or three months of summer graduate student support. We funded a total of six projects which all began in May of 2015. Final project reports are due in September of 2015. The projects cover the full breadth of ACCAP foci and all have a significant stakeholder engagement component aimed at promoting use-inspired science.
This workshop was the inaugural event for the Alaska DOI Climate Science Center. Outcomes identified several important recommendations, including the need for better understanding of the science and application of downscaling and a need to develop downscaling best practices.
Water Policy Consulting, LLC, ACCAP, and tribal environmental and climate change professionals throughout the country, together, are offering the Winter 2015-16 Policy & Climate Adaptation Mitigation and Planning for Alaska Natives webinar series. The series will demonstrate how Native Villages and other communities in Alaska can apply state, federal and tribal policies to address climate change impacts on water and subsistence resources through water resource management and protection, land and water rights, sovereignty and other resiliency and mitigation strategies.
This report, edited by Carl J. Markon (USGS), Sarah F. Trainor (ACCAP/UAF), and F. Stuart Chapin III (UAF), served as foundational technial input for the U.S. Global Change Research Program's 2013 National Climate Assessment.
Assessment of climate change impacts on forested ecosystems in Alaska, with a review and synthesis of existing knowledge, a baseline and scenarios of change, and identification of data gaps and uncertainties.
This project includes an evaluation of a web-based citizen science observation and information management tool that engages residents of coastal communities to voluntarily report observations and local knowledge of marine life.
ACCAP (Walsh) served on the review team that reviewed for the 2015 Center for Global Change (CGC) student grant competition at the University of Alaska Fairbanks. CGC annually funds students through a variety of sources and funding agencies (federal and state) as well as University of Alaska general funds. ACCAP agreed to provide funding for two CGC student projects. The two projects align with the greater ACCAP mission and foci. One project is focused on the subsistence halibut fishery in SE Alaska. It will assess long-term trends in subsistence halibut harvest and evaluate the mechanisms driving changes in harvest. The other project investigates the morphology of the Beaufort Sea coastline during the last interglacial period as a potential historical analog for predicted future sea level change. Those projects will begin in July of 2015 and continue through the 2015/2016 academic year.
This project compiles and analyses examples of climate adaptation in Alaska from a range of sectors including forestry/wildlife, subsistence food harvest, coastal vulnerability, terrestrial infrastructure, shipping, commercial fishing and the oil and gas industry.
This project provides gridded downscaled data sets for sea ice, wind, and sea surface temperature for Alaska coastal area, as well as an analysis of the projected changes, their potential impacts, and adaptation implications.
ACCAP and SNAP provided writing and editorial assistance for this report as well as maps and graphics depicting ecologically and culturally important areas, biota, and processes, natural resources, and key drivers of environmental changes in the Arctic.
This project convened a series of cross-regional video conferences with indigenous leaders and tribal water resource managers to dialog about climate related water impacts and adaptations.
This project assesses the impact of the seasonal and monthly fire outlooks that are produced at the the National Seasonal Fire Assessment Workshops on decision makers across agencies who collaborate to plan for and manage wildfires in the Western U.S.
This project establishes a baseline of local seafood use and food security and examines local conflicts among users. Results can be used to gauge vulnerability to climate-driven declines in fisheries, as well asr to identify limits to collaboration/adaptation.
The purpose of this project is to better understand public perception in Alaska of OA, ocean health, and related research and policy.
Using a database of storm and other extreme events, the Hollings Scholar compiled a catalog of impacts and determined the linkages between extreme events and impacts.
This project produced a web-based decision support tool of experimental forecasts of the area likely to burn in Interior Alaska during the upcoming fire season. It is designed in partneship with fire managers to assist in fire suppression and natural resource planning.
In this project, 65 documents that address climate change research needs in Alaska were analyzed. Common needs were identified, as well as gaps where needs have not been assessed.
The overall goal of this project was to assess the potential risk of ocean acidification on marine resources within the state of Alaska, using the best available and most recent chemical, biological and socio-economic data.
The ability to make predictions on permafrost activity (freeze, thaw, date and depth) is improving, especially on a seasonal scale. National Weather Service and the research community gathered stakeholder and community input about what potential forecast information is most useful and needed by stakeholders for the decisions they are making.
This project creates a Permafrost Settlement Hazard Index for Alaska, estimates damage cost to public infrastructure due to climate change and compares the cost effectiveness of several adaptation options.
This project conducts spatial analysis and testing of an adaptive capacity/assets framework used to evaluate water/wastewater resources and infrastructure among communities of the Bristol Bay region.
This project will engage stakeholders including agencies, local communities, industry, non-profit organizations and academia on scenarios of onshore and offshore infrastructure development for energy and resource extraction in the North Slope, Alaska.
This workshop convened stakedholers, primarily from State agencies to identify information and research needs related to hazards associated with snow, ice (river and sea), glaciers and permafrost.
This social network analysis maps the relationships, communication channels, and information exchange between federal, state, tribal, industry and non-profit entities engaged in climate science and services in Alaska to inform ACCAP and Alaska Climate Science Center (AK CSC) research and outreach.
In Alaska, US and Yakutia (Sakha Republic), Russia, spring is known as a flood season. Rapid warming can force river ice to break up quickly and pile in tremendous jams at narrow and curved points of the rivers, flooding nearby settlements. Both Alaskans and Yakuts are prepared for ice jams, but not for the severity of their consequences. Significant funds are spent on challenging annual disaster response and recovery efforts. In addition to the financial losses, spring floods lead to injuries and loss of life, displacement and long-term evacuation of population, damage to cultural or heritage sites, loss of means of livelihood, and ecosystem resource loss. Crippling costs may be reduced, and community wellbeing improved, through a cross-society and cross-disciplinary approach to mitigating the problem.
This work was designed to inform the recently hired BIA tribal climate science liaison for Alaska.
This project initiates a vulnerability assessment by the US Forest Service and the University of Alaska Fairbanks is designed to prepare the Tongass National Forest for climate change.
This research provides an assessment of the physical, biological and chemical implications of mid-winter pumping of tundra ponds. The oil industry and support services withdraw water from freshwater lakes and ponds to build ice roads and pads in the Arctic for increased access to remote sites. This technique allows oil field development or maintenance while avoiding the environmental disturbance associated with construction of gravel roads and pads.
Thirteen climate divisions were delineated for Alaska. Monthly divisional average temperature and precipitation enhance climate information for Alaska, which opens up new potential directions in climate research.
The goal of this project is to outline best practices, uncertainties and limitations in assessment of the vulnerability of hydropower production to climate variability and change in Alaska.